-->Zur Abwechslung wiedermal eine EW-Analyse um dem Titel des Forums gerecht zu werden.

Ich vermute, dass sich der Bullenmarkt noch bis 2010 hinzieht. Preislich gesehen tippe ich mal auf 1800/1900 Punkte im SPX.




Kurzfristig rechne ich mit einer Korrektur (=blau 4).

viele Grüsse

Pancho

PS: Wie immer ohne Garantie. Das nur als grobe Wegleitung. Bei rot 3 (erster Chart), werde ich dann wieder genauer hinschauen. Es sei denn wir würden vorher ein lower low sehen, was mich ziemlich stutzig machen würde.

-->
zu deinen Charts gut passen

-->

-->Moin Pancho,

danke für die EW-Prognose. Passend dazu Gartman vom letzten Freitag:

“THE GLOBAL BULL MARKET
CONTINUES UNFETTERED as our Int'l Index
has move on to yet another new all time high. We do
indeed seem to be entering, in global terms, a period that is
strikingly akin to the week, months and years very like that
late 80's in Japan when that market"went parabolic" to the
upside. Why markets"go parabolic," is not a subject given
to business school doctoral dissertations, for there is
usually no real fundamental reason for them doing so.
Indeed, there is every reason for them not to do so for
prices move to levels that are simply unjustifiable in any
terms economic. That matters not, however, for the
psychology of the market trumps all other concerns and the
quicker one learns to accept that fact the easier it is for one
to deal with, trade in, profit from and eventual remove
oneself from the events that shall transpire.

Markets are psychological animals rather than economic
ones... a lesson hard for many to learn. This market,
however, is now at that point where psychology does
indeed fully trump economics. If it wants to go higher, and
if there is the force behind it (corporate buy-backs/buyouts
et al) to fuel it, and if the public wishes to embrace it, then it
is folly to stand in front of it and argue with it. Those who
argued that the Nikkei was too high when it traded to
30,000 were eventually right... but not before the Nikkei
traded to 40,000! This is a lesson from history we all need
to learn, understand and embrace.”

http://www.cfsfutures.com/images/E0067301/050407.pdf
(Funzt nicht mehr)

Im 10-Jahreszyklus nach H.S. Dent birgt aber das 7. Jahr (2007) noch die Gefahr einer größeren Korrektur. Das 8. und das 9. Jahr sind die stärksten Jahre des Zyklus.

Gruß
Sil

-->hi Pancho,

danke fuer die prima -Ausarbeitung!

Vielleicht lerne ich ja so eines Tages doch auch noch das Zaehlen bis"5"...

tschuess
G.C.

-->HAllo!


es wird alles anders kommen,

entweder kommt zwischen dem 21,07.07 und 30.07. 07 eine 4 oder die große c
beginnt.

grundlage s& P

mg







>danke für die EW-Prognose. Passend dazu Gartman vom letzten Freitag:
>“THE GLOBAL BULL MARKET
>CONTINUES UNFETTERED as our Int'l Index
>has move on to yet another new all time high. We do
>indeed seem to be entering, in global terms, a period that is
>strikingly akin to the week, months and years very like that
>late 80's in Japan when that market"went parabolic" to the
>upside. Why markets"go parabolic," is not a subject given
>to business school doctoral dissertations, for there is
>usually no real fundamental reason for them doing so.
>Indeed, there is every reason for them not to do so for
>prices move to levels that are simply unjustifiable in any
>terms economic. That matters not, however, for the
>psychology of the market trumps all other concerns and the
>quicker one learns to accept that fact the easier it is for one
>to deal with, trade in, profit from and eventual remove
>oneself from the events that shall transpire.
>Markets are psychological animals rather than economic
>ones... a lesson hard for many to learn. This market,
>however, is now at that point where psychology does
>indeed fully trump economics. If it wants to go higher, and
>if there is the force behind it (corporate buy-backs/buyouts
>et al) to fuel it, and if the public wishes to embrace it, then it
>is folly to stand in front of it and argue with it. Those who
>argued that the Nikkei was too high when it traded to
>30,000 were eventually right... but not before the Nikkei
>traded to 40,000! This is a lesson from history we all need
>to learn, understand and embrace.”
>http://www.cfsfutures.com/images/E0067301/050407.pdf
>(Funzt nicht mehr)
>Im 10-Jahreszyklus nach H.S. Dent birgt aber das 7. Jahr (2007) noch die Gefahr einer größeren Korrektur. Das 8. und das 9. Jahr sind die stärksten Jahre des Zyklus.
>Gruß
>Sil