-->hallo,
selbiges ging mir gestern per email-verteiler zu.
die originäre quelle im ticker forum konnte ich nicht finden.

google-quellen:
http://www.google.de/search?q=%244....de:official&client=firefox-a

deutsche übersetzung:
http://www.lutzschaefer.com/index.php?id_kategorie=8&id_thema=97


$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks

Anybody have a clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?

The two sales are being referred to by market traders as"bin Laden
trades" because only an event on the scale of 9-11 could make these
short-sell options valuable.

There are 65,000 contracts @ $750.00 for the SPX 700 calls for open
interest. That controls 6.5 million shares at $750 = $4.5 Billion.
Not a single trade. But quite a bit of $$ on a contract that is 700
points away from current value. No one would buy that deep"in the
money" calls. No reason to. So if they were sold looks like someone
betting on massive dislocation. Lots of very strange option activity
that I haven't seen before.

The entity or individual offering these sales can only make money if
the market drops 30%-50% within the next four weeks. If the market does
not drop, the entity or individual involved stands to lose over
$1 billion just for engaging in these contracts!

Clearly, someone knows something big is going to happen BEFORE the
options expire on Sept. 21.

THEORIES:

The following theories are being discussed widely within the stock and
options markets today regarding the enormous and very unusual activity
reported above and two stories below. Those theories are:

1) A massive terrorist attack is going to take place before Sept. 21 to
tank the markets, OR;

2) China, reeling over losing $10 Billion in bad loans to the sub-
prime mortgage collapse presently taking place, is going to dump US
currency and tank all of Capitalism with a Communist financial
revolution. Either scenario is bad and the clock is ticking. The drop-
dead date of these contracts is September 21. Whatever is going to
happen MUST take place between now and then or the folks involved in
these contracts will lose over $1 billion for having engaged in this
activity.

"$1.78 Billion Bet that Stock Markets will crash by third week in
September Anonymous Stock Trader Sells 10K Contracts on EVERY S&P/Y
"Strike" Shorts Stocks"in the money" effectively selling all his SPY
holdings for cash up front without pressuring the market downward.

This is an enormous and dangerous stock option activity. If it goes
right, the guy makes about $2 Billion. If he's wrong, his out of pocket
costs for buying these options will exceed $700 Million!!! The entity
who sold these contracts can only make money if the stock market
totally crashes by the third week in September.

Bear in mind that the last time anyone conducted such large and unusual
stock option trades (like this one) was in the weeks before the attacks
of September 11.

Back then, they bought huge numbers of PUTS on airline stocks in the
same airlines whose planes were involved in the September 11 attacks.

Despite knowing who made these trades, the Securities and Exchange
Commission NEVER revealed who made the unusual trades and no one was
ever publicly identified as being responsible for the trades which made
upwards of $50 million when the attacks happened.

The fact that this latest activity by a single entity gambles on a
complete collapse of the entire market by the third week in September,
seems to indicate someone knows something really huge is in the works
and they intend to profit almost $2 Billion within the next four weeks
from whatever happens! This is really worrisome."

-->

-->

-->>hallo,
>selbiges ging mir gestern per email-verteiler zu.
>die originäre quelle im ticker forum konnte ich nicht finden.
>google-quellen:
>http://www.google.de/search?q=%244.5+billion+options+bet+on+catastrophe+within+four+weeks+ticker+forum&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:de:official&client=firefox-a
>deutsche übersetzung:
>http://www.lutzschaefer.com/index.php?id_kategorie=8&id_thema=97
>
>$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks
>Anybody have a clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?
>The two sales are being referred to by market traders as"bin Laden
>trades" because only an event on the scale of 9-11 could make these
>short-sell options valuable.
>There are 65,000 contracts @ $750.00 for the SPX 700 calls for open
>interest. That controls 6.5 million shares at $750 = $4.5 Billion.
>Not a single trade. But quite a bit of $$ on a contract that is 700
>points away from current value. No one would buy that deep"in the
>money" calls. No reason to. So if they were sold looks like someone
>betting on massive dislocation. Lots of very strange option activity
>that I haven't seen before.
>The entity or individual offering these sales can only make money if
>the market drops 30%-50% within the next four weeks. If the market does
>not drop, the entity or individual involved stands to lose over
>$1 billion just for engaging in these contracts!
>Clearly, someone knows something big is going to happen BEFORE the
>options expire on Sept. 21.
>THEORIES:
>The following theories are being discussed widely within the stock and
>options markets today regarding the enormous and very unusual activity
>reported above and two stories below. Those theories are:
>1) A massive terrorist attack is going to take place before Sept. 21 to
>tank the markets, OR;
>2) China, reeling over losing $10 Billion in bad loans to the sub-
>prime mortgage collapse presently taking place, is going to dump US
>currency and tank all of Capitalism with a Communist financial
>revolution. Either scenario is bad and the clock is ticking. The drop-
>dead date of these contracts is September 21. Whatever is going to
>happen MUST take place between now and then or the folks involved in
>these contracts will lose over $1 billion for having engaged in this
>activity.

Diese Leute verlieren nicht über 1 Mia.$, sondern genau 325'000$ (0.05$*65'000*100=325'000$). Letzter Kurs dieser Option (laut Yahoo): 5 cents.

-->

-->

-->bitte hier lesen:

http://f17.parsimony.net/forum30434/messages/389315.htm

-->Ssssooo ganz bala bala ist das nicht. Vielleicht wissen"Die" die Auszahlungswünsche der Investoren zum 28. September bezüglich der H. Fond.

Ja ich weiss der 21. ist nicht der 28. Aber die Bewegung würde schon Tage davor mächtig einsetzen. Noch ein paar Gerüchte dazu gestreut und schon geht sie ab die Marie.

Wer weiss den die Auszahlungswünsche den ganz genau, bzw. wer kommt an die Daten zuerst und sicher ran.

Dazu kurz durchgespielt; Die Sache funzt, der Dow kracht 25% gen Süden. Die Scheine haben mehr als 50fach erhöht. Wer kann da auszahlen. Da streiken sogar die Hubschrauber.

LOMITAS

PS: Und wenn wirklich was dran ist an dem" 3 Tage Krieg" Ich weiss es nicht. Wer weiss es den???? Georg trau ich alles zu.

-->seht es einem sporadischen forum-leser bitte nach, dass ihm das manchmal entgeht...

danke für die antworten

rahim