Hi!

Auch der SMI wird wohl, wenn die Börse in den USA fallen werden, mit nach unten gezogen. Der EW-Chart vom SMI sieht so aus (ein möglicher Count):

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Kommentar von EWA-II:

Current Trading Positions for smi-day (smi-day) Daily on 13-Sep-2001
* A Cycle degree trader (hold positions from quarters to years), would currently be shorting this market.

Extensive Elliott Commentary for smi-day (Daily) on 13-Sep-2001 with two incomplete patterns:

Wave 4 of the Primary degree inverted Impulse with an exceptional rating of 282.8 is expected to complete in the price range 5590.7 to 6303.8, but more probably between 5603.2 and 5934.3. This wave could complete anytime between now and 30-Nov-2001, but is most likely to complete sometime between 14-Sep-2001 and 17-Sep-2001.

Once this wave 4 is complete, expect the market to continue down to the end of wave 5, which will probably be an Impulse but could be an Ending Diagonal. Wave 5 must retrace wave 4 by at least 70% and will usually move beyond the end of wave 3. The most likely price targets for wave 5 will be 61.8%, 100%, 161.8% and 261.8% of the price length of wave 1. Expect wave 5 to be less than wave 4 both in price and time. Wave 5 will complete the Impulse.

Wave III of the Cycle degree inverted Impulse with an excellent rating of 208.9 is expected to complete at a price no higher than 6682.9, but more probably between 3169.1 and 6044. This wave could complete anytime between now and 10-Mai-2004, but is most likely to complete sometime between 03-Okt-2001 and 01-Mrz-2002.

Once this wave III is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave IV, which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave IV should not retrace back into the price range of wave II, and will often have a similar price range to wave II. Expect wave IV to retrace wave III by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave IV will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave IV of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave IV to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave II. After wave IV, expect wave V to move beyond the end of wave III to complete this Impulse.

Gruss
Frank

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