-->....Deutsche Bank argues that America does not need to eliminate its current-account deficit. The German bank reckons that it could probably sustain a deficit of around 2.5% of GDP, half its current level. Using the OECD's economic model, the bank first assumes that the dollar falls to $1.45 against the euro by 2005 and then roughly stays there. This would reduce the current-account deficit to a still hefty 3.6% of GDP by 2008. To reduce the deficit to 2.5% of GDP would, according to Deutsche Bank's simulation, require the dollar-euro rate to fall to $1.98 by 2008, supposing that the dollar falls evenly against all currencies and nothing else changes.....

mehr hier

-->supposing that the dollar falls evenly against all currencies and nothing else changes.....

Wie soll der Dollar gegen alle Währungen in einem solchen Ausmaß fallen? Selbst als Dollarbär ist ein Niveau von 2 absolut unvorstellbar, bei diesen Schwachköpfen in der Politik.

Lustig wäre es trotzdem, doch leider nützen Software-Simulationen bei solchen Sachen ziemlich wenig.

Anderer Vorschlag: Die USA konsumieren nicht mehr so viel:-)