-->... geklaut aus dem aktuellen Thaiguru Thread im Forum auf die goldseiten.de - erinnert mich an Malik, der auch mal irgendwelche Zahlen genannt hat, die ihn dann, wenn sie beim Gold dann erreicht waren, auch nicht interessiert haben.
"Aus einem Interview mit Prechter vom 01.06.02:
JIM: Well, what about gold? Where do you see that going?
BOB: Like I say, I was unequivocally negative on gold for 20 years. But last year I published a paper saying that the psychology in gold had turned too negative. This was when it was down at $265 an ounce. I said, “We are either at or approaching the bottom, and the most likely occurrence is an immediate period of rally to be followed by one last leg down, but if I’m wrong, then we’re making the bottom now.” So, I think we’ve had the rally that I’ve talked about, that it was going to occur one way or another. We’re seeing signs right now that gold is getting a little tired. There seems to be a lot of bullishness about it. There is actually vehemence. As you said, if you try to suggest that gold could have another leg down, people scream and argue with you. That generally is not the case early in a bull market. Usually there are a lot of skeptics at that point. So there’s some anecdotal evidence that the scenario of one rally and one final decline, which is exactly what we saw in 1931 and 1932, is on schedule. But I also don’t think it’s that crucial of a question for most people.
If you’re very wealthy, you should have a fair amount of your money in gold and silver.
So, nun kommt der entscheidende Satz:
------> If you’re a speculator, I wouldn’t chase it, unless it got to a point where you couldn’t ignore the fact that a new bull market has started, and that’s at least $70 away on the upside [from $330 today].
So I’m keeping my powder dry as far as getting completely into gold, as I think most people should. As far as how low it can go, I think it could get down to about $180 an ounce, which would be the buy of a lifetime. But we’re running out of time, and I don’t want to be too cute about it. I wasn’t too cute with the stock market. I got out way early because I didn’t want to stay with the crowd, and I don’t want to do the same thing here. Sometimes you can catch a market for 90 percent of it’s move, and if you’re too cute at the end, you miss the turn. So, that’s why, in this book, I say you really should have some gold and silver. It’s real money.
http://www.financialsense.com/transcriptions/Prechter.htm
Wenn ich das richtig sehe, hätte Prechter konsequenterweise zugeben müssen, daß sich Gold in einem Bullenmarkt befindet - der Goldpreis war bereits weit mehr als 70$ über dem damaligen Stand. <font color=#FF0000></font><font color=#FF0000></font>[b][/b]"
Das sehe ich genauso... Aber es gilt bestimmt wieder die alte Regel: Was kümmert mich mein Geschwätz von gestern....
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