Board-Ansicht
Mix-Ansicht- SP500 Update - Lentas, 11.07.2002, 14:23
SP500 Update
Die Nackenlinie des SP500 dürfte gebrochen sein.
Theoretisches Kursziel: 340 im SP500.
Klassisch sollte (wenn dies wirklich ein Bruch der Nackenlinie war) ein Pullback erfolgen.
Vorerst aber weiter runter IMO.
beste grüße
lentas
[img][/img]
Current Trading Positions for S&P 500 Index (CBOE) (INDEX:SPX.X) Hourly at 16:00 10-Jul-2002
* A Minute degree trader (hold positions from weeks to months), would currently be shorting this market.
* A Minor degree trader (hold positions from weeks to quarters), would currently be shorting this market.
* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be shorting this market.
* A Primary degree trader (hold positions from months to years), would currently be shorting this market.
Extensive Elliott Commentary for S&P 500 Index (CBOE) (INDEX:SPX.X) Hourly at 16:00 10-Jul-2002 with four incomplete patterns:
Wave iii of the Minute degree inverted Impulse with a good rating of 134.8 is expected to complete in the price range 324.36 to 915.3262, but more probably between 725.88 and 915.3262. This wave could complete anytime between now and 09:50 15-Jul-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 10:42 11-Jul-2002 and 12:18 11-Jul-2002.
Once this wave iii is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave iv, which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave iv should not retrace back into the price range of wave ii, and will often have a similar price range to wave ii. Expect wave iv to retrace wave iii by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave iv will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave iv of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave iv to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave ii. After wave iv, expect wave v to move beyond the end of wave iii to complete this Impulse.
Wave 3 of the Minor degree inverted Impulse with a good rating of 124.1 is expected to complete in the price range 301.99 to 960.547, but more probably between 721.87 and 931.81. This wave could complete anytime between now and 11:08 16-Jul-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 10:42 11-Jul-2002 and 13:14 11-Jul-2002.
Once this wave 3 is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave 4, which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave 4 should not retrace back into the price range of wave 2, and will often have a similar price range to wave 2. Expect wave 4 to retrace wave 3 by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave 4 will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave 4 of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave 4 to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave 2. After wave 4, expect wave 5 to move beyond the end of wave 3 to complete this Impulse.
Wave (3) of the Intermediate degree inverted Impulse with an exceptional rating of 353.5 is expected to complete in the price range 6.03 to 989.8428, but more probably between 626.91 and 937.35. This wave could complete anytime between now and 12:24 23-Jul-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 11:07 11-Jul-2002 and 12:46 12-Jul-2002.
Once this wave (3) is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave (4), which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave (4) should not retrace back into the price range of wave (2), and will often have a similar price range to wave (2). Expect wave (4) to retrace wave (3) by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave (4) will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave (4) of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave (4) to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave (2). After wave (4), expect wave (5) to move beyond the end of wave (3) to complete this Impulse.
Wave 3 of the Primary degree inverted Impulse with an exceptional rating of 345.3 is expected to complete at a price no higher than 1029.9457, but more probably between 606.22 and 981.1. This wave could complete anytime between now and 11:31 05-Aug-2002, but is most likely to complete sometime between 11:17 11-Jul-2002 and 09:35 16-Jul-2002.
Once this wave 3 is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave 4, which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave 4 should not retrace back into the price range of wave 2, and will often have a similar price range to wave 2. Expect wave 4 to retrace wave 3 by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave 4 will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave 4 of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave 4 to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave 2. After wave 4, expect wave 5 to move beyond the end of wave 3 to complete this Impulse.
<ul> ~ Lentas Elliott Seite</ul>
<center>
<HR>
</center>
Thread gesperrtgesamter Thread:
