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Mix-Ansicht- SP500 Update - Lentas, 10.08.2002, 22:21
- Re: SP500 Update - bleschek, 11.08.2002, 00:15
SP500 Update
SP500 läuft und läuft...
Chart 1 stellt die Ãœbersicht dar, sozusagen der Wegweiser. Chart2 und Chart 3 sind Analysen des SP500 future.
Das Bradley-Modell (Berechnung von Trendumkehr durch Planeteneinfluß) zeigt für den 10.August eine Umkehr. Die maximale Obergrenze für den derzeitigen Anstieg sehe ich bei 952, die Nackenlinie. Möglicherweise läuft der Index aber auch nur bis 924-926. Als Zeitziel denke ich, dass das Top nächste Woche erreicht wird.SP500 daily:
There are no valid Elliott Wave trades available at this time. Stay out of the market.
Extensive Elliott Commentary for sp02u (Minutes) at 15:30 09-Aug-2002 with three incomplete patterns:
Wave X of the Minor degree Double 3 with a rating of 94.5 is expected to complete in the price range 887.4 to 951.6, but more probably between 907.4 and 943.6. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 11:38 25-Sep-2002, but is most likely to complete before 14:50 12-Aug-2002.
After wave X is complete, expect the market to continue down into wave Y, which should be a corrective pattern. Expect wave Y to be longer than wave X by price.
Wave (B) of the Intermediate degree inverted Flat with a rating of 81.2 is expected to complete in the price range 634.5 to 814.5, but more probably between 717.6 and 779.9. This wave is due to complete anytime from now until 10:34 08-Nov-2002, but is most likely to complete before 09:38 15-Aug-2002.
After wave (B) is complete, expect the market to continue up into wave (C), which should be a five wave Impulsive pattern. Expect wave (C) to be about the same length as either wave (A) or wave (B).
Wave 4 of the Primary degree inverted Impulse with a good rating of 123.1 is expected to complete in the price range 794.8 to 969.5, but more probably between 797.8 and 878.9. This wave was expected to complete before 13:30 07-Aug-2002, and must complete by 09:46 01-Jan-2003.
Once this wave 4 is complete, expect the market to continue down to the end of wave 5, which will probably be an Impulse but could be an Ending Diagonal. Wave 5 must retrace wave 4 by at least 70% and will usually move beyond the end of wave 3. The most likely price targets for wave 5 will be 61.8%, 100%, 161.8% and 261.8% of the price length of wave 1. Expect wave 5 to be less than wave 4 both in price and time. Wave 5 will complete the Impulse.
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SP500 future hourly Variante 2:
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Current Trading Positions for sp02u (sp02u) Minutes at 15:30 09-Aug-2002
* An Intermediate degree trader (hold positions from months to quarters), would currently be trading long in this market.
Extensive Elliott Commentary for sp02u (Minutes) at 15:30 09-Aug-2002 with two incomplete patterns:
Wave (C) of the Intermediate degree inverted Zigzag with a rating of 104 is expected to complete in the price range 903.4 to 969.5, but more probably between 903.4 and 911.5. This wave was expected to complete before 12:30 09-Aug-2002, and must complete by 11:38 25-Sep-2002.
This wave (C) will complete the ZigZag pattern.
This is the final wave in the pattern. When complete it will also complete wave 4 of the Primary degree inverted Impulse with a rating of 116.7. These two waves have the same target ranges.
Once this wave 4 is complete, expect the market to continue down to the end of wave 5, which will probably be an Impulse but could be an Ending Diagonal. Wave 5 must retrace wave 4 by at least 70% and will usually move beyond the end of wave 3. The most likely price targets for wave 5 will be 61.8%, 100%, 161.8% and 261.8% of the price length of wave 1. Expect wave 5 to be less than wave 4 both in price and time. Wave 5 will complete the Impulse.
Updates zum DAX und zum Biotech Index BTX gibts noch auf meiner Seite
Beste Grüße
Lentas
<ul> ~ Lentas Elliott Site</ul>
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