- Nachtrag / Frage zum vorhergehenden Text: Nachfrage nach phys. Gold negativ? - spieler, 30.08.2002, 11:02
- Re: Nachtrag / Frage zum vorhergehenden Text: Nachfrage nach phys. Gold negativ? - blindfisch, 30.08.2002, 11:17
- Doch richtig? - Rene, 30.08.2002, 12:41
- Re: Doch richtig? - blindfisch, 31.08.2002, 11:34
- Doch richtig? - Rene, 30.08.2002, 12:41
- Nachfrage nach phys. Gold negativ? Klassische Desinformation. Bitte lesen: - drooy, 30.08.2002, 11:23
- Also ich weiß nicht... - spieler, 30.08.2002, 13:40
- 2) Thats the whole story about gold- the rest is noise. Auch bitte lesen: - drooy, 30.08.2002, 11:36
- geht noch kürzer *g* - Diogenes, 30.08.2002, 16:49
- Re: Viele Überlegungen zu *supply and demand* führen in die Irre. - chiquito, 30.08.2002, 12:46
- Re: Nachtrag / Frage zum vorhergehenden Text: Nachfrage nach phys. Gold negativ? - blindfisch, 30.08.2002, 11:17
Also ich weiß nicht...
-->Bis auf Ziffer 12 scheint mir das aber nun sooo aussagekräftig auch nicht zu sein...
M.E. werden zumindest diesmal vom Autor nur Behauptungen aufgestellt...
"die Reaktion der Metalle liegt hinter uns..." Ja? Warum?
"ein Schluß über 333 Dollar wird uns, meiner Meinung nach, bis 380 Dollar bringen" Ja schön! Eben seine Meinung...
"Goldminenaktien sind in einem Bullenmarkt" usw.
Diesen Text finde ich wirklich eher schwach, da hat er m.E. schon bessere Aufsätze geschrieben...
Spieler
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>A Review of Gold
>By
>James Sinclair
>August 27th, 2002
>Since mid-June we have been in a reaction in the gold and silver price. Today gold moved slightly above the $312 resistance level. The question in everyone's mind is"Are we out of this reactionary phase and in a new leg in the gold bull market"? Since, I know as a trader myself, I want clear and precise answers, allow me to respond:
>1. Yes, the reaction in precious metals is behind us.
>2. Gold has fulfilled it downside objective in the spike down intra-day to 298.
>3. In practical terms $302-$305 has held the decline in gold as it represents that fundamental level at which the"Risk Control Programs" used by all commercial gold bank dealers have returned all gold derivatives to their fully exposed short spread position.
>4. At present there is a window in time, until the end of the first week of October 2002, that will allow the general equities market to snap back from declines with significant rallies.
>5. Therefore the way for gold to a new high in this leg will be hampered by set backs due to talking head heralding a"Return to Reality (theirs)" with each rally until the end of the first week of October 2002.
>6. The gold shares are in a new leg up in their bull market.
>7. Much of the share debacle (not reaction) came, in my opinion, as a result of the promotion of the Prechter deflationist scenario coupled with an overbought condition that the gold shares had accumulated.
>8. The period in which the general equities market has rally potential will end early in at the end of the first week of October 2002 for a while.
>9. After that (end of the first week of October), in my opinion, the gold and silver market will have an uninterrupted period in which a new high in the present leg is quite possible. Certainly a test of the $329.94 will, IMO, occur
>10. The key number on gold is now $329.94. The"Derivative WARS," which are being fought daily between the JPM, Goldman, Lehman, Merrills of the world and the Asian bullish interest will be lost by the Gold derivative dealers when gold closes above $330 now, not necessarily the $354.
>11. A close above $330 will give us, IMO, $380-$400
>12. Gold is in a transition back to currency where is has significant value. When gold is purely a commodity it is of questionable value. It is this transition, gold back to a currency, which underscore the bull market for gold. It is this transition, gold back to a currency, that is not recognized by the gold dealer's cartel, the central banks or the talking heads of Wall Street.
>13. By the end of this year or very early next, IMO, all five fundamental criteria for a long term bull market in gold will be in place. When that occurs the bear raids of the gold cartel will be history
>14. Overhead resistance is at $312.50 today. We are as I write at this on the cash gold bid. Above that we have significant resistance at $317.50 and then at $329.94.
>15. It is not all-clear skies for gold yet, but it is in the making.
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