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09/06 13:04
Crude Oil Jumps as Bush Seeks Support for Action Against Iraq
By Mark Shenk
New York, Sept. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose above $30 a barrel for the second time in two weeks as U.S. President George W. Bush seeks support from Russia, China, France and the U.K. in his efforts to oust Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein.
Oil has risen 14 percent since early August as Bush accused Hussein of stockpiling weapons of mass destruction. An attack on Iraq may threaten shipments from a region that pumps a third of the world's oil. U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair said in a British Broadcasting Corp. interview set to air Sunday that he's willing to pay a ``blood price'' for Britain's alliance with the U.S.
``We're going to easily hit $33,'' said David Becker, manager of energy derivatives trading at Citibank NA in New York. ``More and more we're convinced that war is coming.''
Crude oil for October delivery was up 43 cents, or 1.5 percent, at $29.41 a barrel at 12:43 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices, which were up 1.5 percent this week, rose as high as $30.19 a barrel in early trading, close to an 18- month high of $30.32 a barrel on Aug. 20.
In London, the October Brent crude-oil futures contract was up 59 cents, or 2.1 percent, at $28.25 a barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange.
Bush today called the leaders of Russia, China and France and will meet with Blair tomorrow at Camp David in Maryland. The countries, along with the U.S., are permanent members of the United Nations Security Council. The President will outline his case for action against Hussein to the UN General Assembly on Sept. 12.
Iraq last month produced 1.52 million barrels a day, or about 2 percent of the world's oil, according to Bloomberg estimates. Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest exporter, has said it has enough spare production capacity to make up for any shortfall caused by military action against Iraq. The two countries share a border.
Sufficient Evidence
Bush ``believes that the evidence that we've already seen to date is sufficient to require regime change,'' White House spokesman Ari Fleischer said yesterday. ``Congress agrees with that.'' Fleischer said no decision has been made on whether that means a military strike is required.
Bush said Wednesday that he'll seek congressional approval before he takes action on Iraq.
Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle said yesterday that Bush should win UN support for overthrowing Hussein before Congress is asked to approve U.S. military action.
Blair hasn't persuaded legislators from his Labour Party that there's justification for military attacks on Iraq, according to a BBC survey. Of 100 Labour legislators who responded to the poll, 88 said they wouldn't support U.S.-led military action on the basis of the evidence they've seen so far.
1990 Invasion
Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in August 1990 halted output from both countries, leading Saudi Arabia and other producers to fill the gap. Prices surged close to $41 in October of that year.
U.S. and U.K. aircraft yesterday bombed Iraqi air defenses in a raid that the U.K.'s Daily Telegraph called the biggest in four years. The U.S. military denied that the action was unusual, saying the number of planes involved was typical of such missions.
``The war premium is way back in the market,'' said Adam Sieminski, an oil strategist at Deutsche Bank Securities in London. ``George Bush is preparing for an invasion and is making sure that everyone knows he's taking all the steps necessary to make it a possibility.''
Satellite photographs show Iraq has built new facilities at nuclear-related sites since the last international inspections about four years ago, the New York Times reported, citing a UN official.
A team of 15 experts at the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna discovered the construction by comparing current satellite photographs with pictures and information gathered in December 1998, the last time UN inspectors were in Iraq, the Times reported. Inspectors haven't been allowed to return since then.
Iraq must be declared free of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, and missiles that can deliver them, before the UN Security Council will lift economic sanctions imposed on the Persian Gulf country after its invasion of Kuwait.
U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney said last week that Hussein probably has chemical and biological weapons and is pursing nuclear arms
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