Woody Dorsey predictions:

verfasst von leibovitz, 24.02.2003, 17:03

-->zusammengefasst aus seinen letzen letters (ich habe ein verdammt schlechtes gefühl wenn meine strategy contrarian zu seiner ist):

22.01.2003

Q2 provide the best run in 03
05. Feb 03 sharp pop (short covering) then bigger break
dollar low in march recovery rally into late may
gold better buying zone in march
energy major high is still to come
let's wait for the march low to buy stocks


27.01.2003
confusing and challenging markets due over the nex 6-7 weeks
a very positive surprise after
for the best long structure that we have had for several years.
uncertain range equity due for the rest of Q1
negative profile into early feb
5te feb low, then sharp short covering then bigger break into 17.03
Q2 still provide the best run in 03
markets sorely tested next 2 months
treasuries may correct in early feb then final spike
dollar in major downtrend as expected
dollar recovery rally into late may (starts in 5-6weeks)
energy vulnerable but major high is still to come
grains are setting up to explode in Q2
gold better buying zone in march
Equities buy in March
commodities still not recognized as the booming asset class

05.02.03
remain patient and wait to buy
Q1 will finalize the base for the best long structure that we have had for several years
uncertain, rangy equity markets due for the rest of the Q1
with another low due near the end of Q1
be cautious and careful from a portfolio perspective until the Q1 bottoming process resolves itself.
short covering pop due into 17 feb bevor a bigger break into 18 march.
next week is best bullish week in awhile
markets will still be sorely tested next 5-6 weeks
bounces over next week or so but wait to buy in march.
dollar -- by fist interim recovery rally into late may.
grains are setting up for Q2 rally
Gold in corrective range? Better buying zone in March
Look to buy aggressively towards end of Q1 for best upside of 2003
retail: suffering conceptual hangover. Could still make new lows in march
semi: buying opportunity in march

11.02.03
remain patient and wait to buy
uncertain, rangy equity markets due for the rest of Q1
low du near the end of Q1
short covering pop into 17.2 - 20.2 before a bigger break into 18.03
Q2 may still provide the best run in 2003
bounces over next week or so but wait to buy in March.
$ expected short term dollar bounce occurring, but an absolute dollar catharsis potential due in 4-6 weeks. Interim recovery rally into late may.
Energy correcting but major high is still yet to come. Grains are setting up for Q2 rally. Gold better buying zone in March.
Look to buy aggressively towards end of Q1 for best upside of 2003
a final decline into March 17-20
be patient for real bottom
$ expect recovery rally thru may.
Grains are still struggling before upside.


18.02.03

Remain patient and wait to buy
next low will set up two rallies lasting into August. First high due in late May, very sharp correction into June will be followed by another summer rally.
expected short covering pop into 17.2 - 20.2 before a bigger break into 18.03
gold in corrective range as expected. Better buying zone in April
we should start breaking down again by 20.2


24.02.03
the next low will set up two rallies lasting into August. First high due in latish May, very sharp correction into June followed by another summer rally.
expected short covering pop could persist as late as month end before a bigger break into 18.03. Double or even triple grudging low or basing pattern will over from 17.03 - 01.04. BUY THERE
European Equities may bottom before the US market.
April to August may provide the best run in 2003
still think recent rally will be reversed in a few days.
short term dollar bounce should be over. new low is possible over next 3-4 weeks before recovery rally into mid May.
Grains are sideways before Q2 rally. Gold better buying zone in April. Gold may rally after Iraq resolution.
Prefer sharp decline first two weeks of March will offer a simple identifiable reversal.
surprise is that U.S. falls harder than Europe here.
FTSE rally should be ending. DAX may have another probe and potential break of the lows.
Semiconductors: the next low, still due in march, may lead to an explosive rally.
Energy Major high may still be months ahead. We may have an inflation rally and an equity rally at the same time. Commodities still structurally bullish.
CRB looks sideways before next spring rally.

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• Woody Dorsey predictions: - leibovitz, 24.02.2003, 17:03