Board-Ansicht
Mix-Ansicht- Peak Oil und Saudi-Arabien - Sorrento, 24.02.2004, 21:44
- Erdgas wird schon jetzt in den USA knapp - Sorrento, 25.02.2004, 15:01
Erdgas wird schon jetzt in den USA knapp
-->Zur sinkenden Förderung von Erdgas in den USA und die Folgen der (immer noch relativ moderat) gestiegenen Ã-lpreisen habe ich noch folgende Artikel gefunden:
New York (Reuters) - Der ungewöhnlich kalte Winter in den USA hat die Strom- und Ergasnachfrage in der weltgrößten Volkswirtschaft im Januar stark angekurbelt und damit die gesamte Industrieproduktion nach oben geschraubt.
Wie die US-Notenbank (Fed) am Dienstag mitteilte, stieg die Gesamterzeugung der Fabriken, Bergwerke und Energieversorger in den USA zu Jahresbeginn um 0,8 Prozent nach einem unveränderten Niveau im Dezember. Der Zuwachs zum Vormonat entsprach exakt den durchschnittlichen Erwartungen von Analysten und war der stärkste seit November. Der größte Teil des Anstiegs entfiel auf die Energieerzeuger, die angesichts der niedrigen Temperaturen einen Produktionszuwachs von 5,2 Prozent verzeichneten. Die Erdgas-Nachfrage stieg um 7,0 Prozent.
Quelle: <a href ="http://www.reuters.de/newsPackageArticle.jhtml?type=economicsNews&storyID=460081§ion=news">Reuters </a>
Währenddessen ist die Angebotsseite zurückgegangen (selbst Greenspan hatte letzten Sommer ja bereits davor gewarnt)
Der Verbrauch von Rohöl in den USA hat 2003 bei durchschnittlich 20,045 Millionen Barrel am Tag gelegen und damit einen neuen Rekord erreicht, berichtet die staatliche Energy Information Adminstration (EIA) in einer revidierten Schätzung. 2002 soll der Verbrauch noch 19,761 Millionen Barrel betragen haben.
Rohöl in New York (WTI) dürfte sich in überschaubarer Zukunft zwischen 30 und 36 $ je Barrel bewegen, sagt Refco voraus.
Die Erdgasproduktion in den USA ist im vierten Quartal 2003 gegenüber dem gleichen Vorjahreszeitraum um 6,2 % gesunken, berichtet Raymond James.
Quelle: Taurosweb.de
Also beim Erdgas ist die Produktion ist um 6,2% zurückgegangen, der Verbrauch um 7% gesteigen und die Lager werden immer leerer, die Infrastruktur für Importe von Flüssiggas braucht für ihren Bau noch so einige Jahre und 25% des Energiebedarfs in den USA wird über Gas gedeckt.. noch Fragen?
Wie das dann jetzt schon ausschaut, siehe den folgenden Bericht:
Heating bills may precede record summer gasoline prices
By BARBARA HAGENBAUGH and CHUCK MARTIN
USA TODAY and Staff Writer
Homeowners across the USA are seeing huge jumps in their heating bills this winter from a year ago. And if they weren't already feeling the pinch, gasoline prices are on line to beat last year's prices.
Tight supplies, cold weather and high oil costs are keeping prices elevated for most heating methods. But while there are only about six weeks left in winter, there is little relief in sight for high energy costs.
This summer, gasoline prices also are expected to increase. The average price at the pump last month hit the highest on record for the month of January at $1.62. Prices likely will continue to be elevated through spring and maybe into summer.
Higher prices, possible shortages
Last summer, gasoline prices hit $1.75 around Labor Day, and there's no sign that motorists will see a decrease this summer, said Mark Baxter, director of the Maguire Energy Institute at Southern Methodist University.
"It could be 10 percent higher," Baxter said.
Stephen Brown, director of energy economics at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, says he expects gasoline prices will rise through the spring, then fall as oil prices moderate. But Brown, along with other analysts, warns there could be regional gasoline shortages and price spikes as a patchwork of regulations about gasoline mixes makes it impossible to simply ship gasoline from area to area when supplies in one region are short.
"It could get pretty ugly," says Bill O'Grady, director of futures research at A.G. Edwards. He notes prices likely will vary greatly by region."It is probably going to be bad. We just don't know how bad or where."
The outlook is grim in the Midwest, where gasoline prices are currently higher than the national average, indicated Susan Stewart, media relations representative for AAA Ohio in Columbus.
"The outlook is not good. The recent OPEC announcement that they would cut production by a million barrels a day April 1 is one factor."
She cited three others factors hurting prices. Two of those are fires which occurred Feb. 1, affecting gasoline production at refineries in Indiana and Illinois, one owned by BP, the other by Conoco/Phillips. The third was the announcement by the Marathon/Ashland refinery at Catlett, Ky., that the company cut production by 17 percent in the first quarter.
"These three things have combined to cause prices in the Midwest to be higher than the national average, Stewart said.
The trucking industry is directly affected by higher fuel prices. Pat Hennessey, president of Putnam Direct, said they buy little fuel themselves these days because they contract with owner-operators, who buy their own fuel. However, they add a fuel surcharge to customer bills, which is passed on to the drivers. That charge is based on a national average of fuel prices.
Diesel fuel prices are lower than they were in February last year, Hennessey said. The average was at about $1.57 this week, while last year in February it spiked at $1.80 per gallon.
He expects prices to level off, but"I'll believe it when I see it," he said.
The outlook going into spring and summer is not good, Stewart said. California is often a gauge of what will happen nationwide, and prices there are 10 cents a gallon higher than they were a year ago.
She said it is difficult to predict what prices will be like this summer, but she said,"It's not looking good."
Cutting costs at home
Higher gasoline prices won't help people like Chris and Diana Muzzo, who already are fighting high heating bills. They put new energy-efficient windows into their Cincinnati condo before winter but still saw their monthly natural gas bill soar to $230 in January - the first time the bill topped $200 since Chris moved in more than three years ago. [Und das in den USA, uih!]
"I shudder to think what the bill would have been without the new windows," lawyer Chris, 31, said.
Homeowners looking for ways to reduce heating bills has not resulted in a surge in sales of energy-efficient windows or insulation, said Don Sowers, retail sales manager and buyer for Ray Thomas Lunbertown at Dillon Falls. Instead, he said the last several years have shown a steady trend of buyers seeking insulated, rather than single-pane windows.
"Customers are aware of the energy issue," he said. Most of the windows they sell these days are insulated, as are doors.
Homeowners also are adding insulation to homes, and Thomas sells a couple kinds of blow-in insulation for attics and walls, and even provides the machine for customers to use.
Jenny Lawhorn Sammis and Scott Sammis of Richmond, Va., have turned down their thermostat since receiving a natural gas bill in January for $559.35, up 43 percent from last year.
"I was flummoxed," says Jenny, 34, who works in public relations at National Public Radio."I never would have thought I would have a bill for more than $500."
Data out last week confirms it's not just a problem for users of natural gas, which is used to heat more than half of U.S. homes. Retail heating oil prices rose to $1.63 a gallon last week, up 6 percent from a year ago. Nearly one-tenth of U.S. homes are heated with heating oil.
The increased costs may make it tough for some homeowners to pay their heating bills. National Fuel Funds Network Executive Director George Coling says his organization, which works to help low-income people with their heating bills, has seen an increase in inquiries this winter.
<ul> ~ Quelle</ul>
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