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Mix-Ansicht- OT: war dies jetzt eine Stern-Schnuppe; oder hatte ich die falsche Lupe? - Emerald, 06.11.2004, 20:04
OT: war dies jetzt eine Stern-Schnuppe; oder hatte ich die falsche Lupe?
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Week of November 8
Fear sells. Fear won. And when fear wins, precious metals go up and other markets behave very erratic and with much volatility.
As stated several times in this column, and throughout the Forecasts for 2004 book, the populace of the U.S.A. would likely vote this election on the basis of fear—fear to make a change. This analysis was based mostly on the fact that Saturn was in Cancer, the Sun sign for the United States. Saturn is, in my opinion, the most important astrological factor to study when doing Mundane Astrology. The fact that Saturn was stationary in the Sun sign of the United States strongly implied that the population would be resistant to making a change, even though they were not happy about the direction the country’s leadership had taken. They would be critical, and demand a full accounting of past decisions. Indeed, President Bush found it hard to escape from criticism of his reasons for going to war in Iraq throughout this campaign. Yet in spite of that criticism and demand for accountability, the population would still not vote him out of office, for fear of putting someone in who they did know very well. Unfortunately, as also forecasted here, the White House would interpret the election victory as a mandate for their policies. And that is exactly what happened. As Bush received the highest vote total in the history of the U.S. elections (due to high voter turnout and increased population), Vice-President Dick Cheney proudly announced that this was a mandate by the American people for their leadership. Others polls specifically addressing this question would beg to differ. And it is also appears that John Kerry received the second highest number of votes in the history of a U.S. Presidential election, even in defeat.
But it was not only Saturn in Cancer that led me to forecast that Bush might win. Transiting Pluto was in Sagittarius, in opposition to the U.S.A. Mars. This too is a combination that would indicate the fear that the American people felt—fear of attack by a terrorist agent. Which candidate would most likely protect us? The public concluded, by a wide margin, that it would be George Bush. And, as stated in the Forecast Book for 2004, the decision of the American people would also be based upon the direction of the economy and strength of the character of those running. Because transiting Uranus was still in a trine to the Venus-Jupiter conjunction in the chart of the U.S.A., it was surmised that the economy would be doing OK. It would not be collapsing at the time of the election, and this too favored the incumbent. Friday’s strong employment numbers justified that belief. As to the character of the candidates, I cannot (will not) comment on who was the candidate of greater character. But the exit polls of voters did indeed show a surprise to most election analysts, and that is that the single most important issue to voters this year was morality. By a huge margin, voters believed that George Bush reflected their moral values more than John Kerry did, and that was very important in their choice. I don’t know that I ever witnessed a presidential election where moral values were the single most important issue to voters. But then again, that is the nature of Saturn in Cancer everywhere. Saturn has to also do with moral values. In reality, both parties and candidates have a strong sense of moral values. But only George Bush made it an election year issue, and successfully claimed the mantle on this issue for his party. How appropriate with Saturn in Cancer, when the incumbent was a Cancer, and was also experiencing his own 29-year Saturn return. Once again, the importance of Saturn and its principles cannot be ignored in mundane forecasting.
So in my opinion, this election came out very close to what I expected, given the focus I put on the position of Saturn, and the position of other transits to the horoscope of the country, which I believe reflects the mood of the voters. And it is the voters, as shown in the country’s horoscope, which is the greater determining factor (to me) in making a forecast of who will win a national election. It is not shown as much in the charts of the candidates, for surely John Kerry had the “better” chart. It is shown in the horoscope of the United States, where very clearly it showed the country was worried, scared, and thus afraid to make a change in the midst of their perception of being in a dangerous national security threat. In times like this, people will revert back to concepts like “character” and “moral values.”
The world equity markets responded very favorably to this election. In a special email report sent out to our subscribers on Saturday, October 23, I pointed out that the new yearly low on Friday (October 22) was not necessarily a sign of a market collapse. In fact, it probably meant that we were very close to the 22.5-month cycle trough, which could now form at any time. Indeed it formed the very next trading day, October 25. From that low of 9708.40 in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the market soared to a new 4 month high on Friday, at 10,416.70. The NASDAQ Composite also soared to a 4-month high, hitting 2046.90 on Friday. In Argentina, the Merval stock index soared to a new yearly high, reaching 1334.09 on Friday, eclipsing its previous yearly high made back on March 22 at 1294.
But the same bullish phenomenon was evident in all parts of the world. In Europe, the London FTSE index rose to 4761.90 on Friday, it highest level since June 2002. The German DAX reached 4111.80 on Friday, it highest point since April of this year, and up considerably from the 3839 low of October 25. The Swiss Stock Index rallied to 5639.10 on Friday, up from 5301.70, its low of October 25. This high on Friday represented its highest level since late June. Only the AEX failed to make anew multi-month high, reaching 338.80 on Friday, just slightly off from the 339.40 high of October 7, but up considerably from the 320.40 low of October 25 like all the other indices.
In the Far East, the Australian All Ordinaries continued marching to new all-time highs at 3866.70 on Friday. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong touched 13,537 on Friday, its highest mark since March, and up from the recent low of 12,753 on October 25. And the Nikkei index of Japan got to 11,090 on Friday, but this was down from the 11,410 high of October 7. Still, it is an improvement over the low of 10,575 of October 25.
Almost every one of these indices, then, soared sharply to new multi-week or multi-month highs since October 25, and all look poised to go even higher, especially in the U.S.A. But, as outlined in last week’s report, we are also in a very huge critical reversal zone that extends from November 4 through December 5. One of the tightest clusters in now in effect November 4-11, with the midpoint being right now, this weekend. And the very important Saturn station takes place this Monday, and the equally important Uranus station unfolds Thursday. We’ve already had an earthquake (in Japan), symbolized by this combination. And eruptions in financial markets are also likely to occur now. We note that as we enter this major reversal zone, Gold, Swiss Franc, and the Euro are all soaring to new multi-year highs. But Silver and the Japanese Yen are not. Be alert. Big changes in trend are due this month.
Announcement: The special pre-publication discount on Forecast for 2005 book is now over. But you can still pre-order next year's book at $39.95. As always, this book is written between October and November, and is shipped out upon return from the printer, around December 15. Order now and lock in your reservation for next year's book! For further information on pre-ordering next year's book, please go to our website and click the banner on ORDERS or BOOKS.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Raymond Merriman is a professional astrologer and President of The Merriman Market Analyst, Inc., an investment advisory firm specializing in market timing products and services. He is the editor of The MMA Cycles Report, an advisory newsletter used by banks, financial institutions, investors and traders. He is the author of numerous astrology books, and developed two financial astrological software systems: The FAR (Financial Astrological Research) program, and the SOS (Stock Optimizing Selector) Program, which enable traders to identify potential turning points in various stocks and/or financial futures markets. He can be reached by email, or visit his website.
For more information about Raymond Merriman, click here.
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