Re: Weiß es ein Inder?

verfasst von Trithemius, 05.01.2005, 18:34

-->Aus einem Artikel, der auf KITCO-Seite steht:

"If the technical picture is correct, stock may lose 40% of its current value in the next six months. The head and shoulder pattern formed and stocks decisively broke the channel after forming a solid straight moving average convergence and divergence line for more than seven weeks.

The Gold market is showing even worse signs. Gold can test $300 an oz in next six months also.

In Radio talk shows in America, I could not find a single bear on stocks and Gold.

What really surprises many experts is something that violates all text book theories of economics.

If the charts are correctly predicting future we are seeing something that the world has not seen in seventy-five years since the last depression in America. Stocks and Gold crashing down with long term bond yields at thirty years low - points to coming deflation and economic depression.

The shortage and higher price of oil and other commodities will make companies look for more ways to cut cost. Outsourcing and lay offs will intensify. This will just fire up a deflationary scenario, which already exist under the rug.

Once the Jeannie called deflation is out, debt overloaded the consumers and households will start paying off loans instead of buying goodies from cars to new homes.

The social security reform will further make them nervous and fearing they will have nothing to retire upon, consumers will start saving at 10% per year instead of virtually zero as of today. This will really take pricing power out from the companies.

As in the auto market, every market will have to provide huge incentives for bringing people in buy any item. This will provide the way for the hard word D - yes depression. The unemployment can reach 20% and this depression can continue for decades as families, individuals, corporations and the Governments focus on paying debt off instead of expanding or doing anything that needs expendable cash.

The dollar as a matter of fact will strengthen - exactly opposite to what every one has taken for granted. Currently it takes 133 dollars to buy 100 euro. In a few years it will be 133 euros that gets converted to 100 US dollars.

This is because, as the biggest market of the world collapse in debt and anxiety, the Europe and Japan will also tumble into deeper recession. The Asian, Russian and Brazilian economies will explode on the up side primarily because of their domestic strength. Their export markets will collapse too."

Bißchen viel auf einmal - wie kommt ein Inder ("India Daily") zu derart extremen Aussagen?

MfG - Trit

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gesamter Thread:

• Back to the EW-roots: Remember Hamilton Bolton? - dottore, 05.01.2005, 16:35
  • Re: Weiß es ein Inder? - Trithemius, 05.01.2005, 18:34
    • Re: Weiß es ein Inder? Wahrscheinlich hat er die Gabe des"Remote Viewing" (o.Text) - Josef, 05.01.2005, 20:22
    • Re: Das lesen die meisten hier nicht gerne, daher: Danke (o.Text) - - Elli -, 05.01.2005, 21:12
    • Re: Weiß es ein Inder? - CRASH_GURU, 06.01.2005, 07:08
  • I don't remember, aber danke für die spannende Recherche! (o.Text) - BillyGoatGruff, 05.01.2005, 18:36
  • Re: Back to the EW-roots: Remember Hamilton Bolton? - x Thomas, 05.01.2005, 23:18
  • Staatswirtschaft - bernor, 07.01.2005, 01:27
  • Re: Back to the EW-roots: Remember Hamilton Bolton? - Fremdwort, 08.01.2005, 11:23