- Robert Mc.Hugh - Dieter, 16.01.2005, 01:45
Robert Mc.Hugh
-->Hier eine Liste von möglichen Umkehrpunkten beim Dow aufgrund Fibomaßen, ins Netz gestellt von Robert Mc. Hugh in einem Artikel:
Gruß Dieter
Probable Tops/Bottoms Turn Dates in the
Dow Jones Industrial Average for 2005
Based Upon Fibonacci phi Golden Ratio Relationships
With Other Tops/Bottoms From 1/14/2000
12/28/2004's Top:
12/5/01's Closing Minor Top is 38.2% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's High to 12/28/04's High.
1/20/05:
While we cannot be sure if this will be a top or bottom, nor be sure if it will be a major or minor turn date, it is likely to be a turn date, plus or minus a day or so. 12/14/01's Minor Low is 38.2% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's High to 1/20/05.
2/15/05:
3/11/03's Major Bottom is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's Top to 2/15/05.
3/8/05:
This could end up being a Major turn date since it is phi mates with two prior turn dates.
* 3/21/03's Minor Top is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's Top to 3/8/05.
* 1/4/02's Major Top is 38.2% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's Top to 3/8/05.
3/21/05:
3/21/03's (note the exact same day two years earlier) Minor Bottom is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's Top to 3/21/05.
5/26/05:
5/12/03's Minor Top is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's Top to 5/26/05.
6/10/05:
5/20/03's Minor Bottom is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 6/10/05.
7/25/05:
6/17/03's Major Top is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 7/25/05.
9/16/05:
This could be a Major turn date since it is a phi mate with two prior turn dates (it is interesting that our double phi turn dates in 2005 are occurring around equinoxes).
* 3/19/02's Major Top is 38.2% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 9/16/05.
* 8/5/03's Minor Bottom is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 9/16/05.
12/27/05:
This could also be a Major turn date since it is a phi mate with two prior turn dates. Again, it occurs around a seasonal change date, a few days after the start of winter.
* 4/29/02's Minor Low is 38.2% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 12/27/05.
* 9/19/03's Minor top is 61.8% of the total # of trading days from 1/14/00's top to 12/27/05.

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