Neues von Rich Dad: Immobilien, Gold/Silber, Inverse Zinskurve

verfasst von wuzge, 07.01.2006, 08:32

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As far as investments go, you may recall that in the summer of 2005, I warned of a slow down in real estate. I now believe 2006 will be dangerous for flippers or speculators. I trust you are not hoping to flip a property.

My crystal ball thinks that the market for flippers may become dangerous in the U.S. just because building costs may go through the roof and the flippers who were buying properties off the plans in Miami and Las Vegas will eat lunch. If Miami and Las Vegas begin to collapse, a domino effect may follow. If a crash occurs, then good times will roll again as real investors, not speculators, begin to buy up bargains.

As many of you know, I personally do not like to flip properties, although I have made a lot of money doing it. The reason I do not like flipping properties is because to me, that is speculation not investing. It is investing for capital gains, rather than cash flow. This is what Warren Buffet says about investing because prices are going up. He says:

“The dumbest reason in the world to buy a stock is because it’s going up.”

I would say that is true for real estate. Do you know how many people buy real estate on the assumption that the property will go up in value? Do you know how easy it is to buy a property with the hopes that it’s price will increase? Do you know how hard it is to find a property that is undervalued or cash flows without it going up in value? Yet that is what so many people do. They buy on hope or a future promise rather than dig a little harder and look for a great investment that is high in value and low in price … today not tomorrow. While they have made a lot of money in the last few years, I suspect that it will be tougher and riskier to be a flipper in 2006.

You may have noticed that gold is above $500 an ounce and may test $600. For those of you who attended our 2-day study group on the book the Dollar Crisis, by Richard Duncan, have done well if you followed the advice and strategies from that course. Silver may be the biggest sleeper investment now, especially if it remains below $10.

Personally, I am watching interest rates and the inverted yield curve that hangs over the entire market. The inverted yield curve in interest rates, which means short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates may means a drying up of short-term credit. If short-term credit dries up, a recession may follow. That coupled with a possible slow down in real estate, the war, excessive debt, and high oil prices means it will be a great time for active investors.

Why will it be a great time? As Warren Buffet says,

“It’s only when the tide goes out that you learn who’s been swimming naked.”


If you have been swimming naked, get dressed quickly!

Happy New Year.

Robert Kiyosaki
<ul> ~ http://www.richdad.com/pages/article_robert_newyear2006.asp</ul>

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gesamter Thread:

• Neues von Rich Dad: Immobilien, Gold/Silber, Inverse Zinskurve - wuzge, 07.01.2006, 08:32
  • Re: ÜbersetzungsHilfe - 000, 08.01.2006, 01:38
    • Re: ÜbersetzungsHilfe - wuzge, 08.01.2006, 09:11
      • Re: ÜbersetzungsHilfe - Danke!!! - ist jedenfalls pos. f Silber gemeint!! (o.Text) - 000, 08.01.2006, 14:16
    • Re: ÜbersetzungsHilfe - CRASH_GURU, 08.01.2006, 15:01
      • Re: Silversleeper - R.Deutsch, 08.01.2006, 16:02
        • Re: Silversleeper - schöne Nachahmung einer Shona Sculpture, man sollte das - CRASH_GURU, 08.01.2006, 16:58
          • Re: Silversleeper - schöne Nachahmung einer Shona Sculpture, man sollte das - R.Deutsch, 08.01.2006, 17:21