Zur Zukunft des Irak, Auszüge der Asian Times, die inzwischen auch draufkommt

verfasst von André, 02.01.2007, 18:50

-->But now the old strategy of indirect US/British involvement has a new twist, seeing that Iran and its proxies have advanced on the region to such a great extent since 2003. US and British military forces, primarily naval forces, are being massively increased inside and outside the Persian Gulf to facilitate certain"measured" actions against Iran.

These will begin with sanctions and an embargo enforced at sea and in the global financial arena, and clandestine support for opposition groups and sabotage within Iran itself. A massive air attack on Iran will be held in immediate readiness. The US and Britain hope such"measured" action will weaken the Iranian regime financially and politically over a period of months, starting early in 2007, and lead to a West-favorable regime change later in the year without the need to resort to massive air attacks.

If the US and Britain imagine they can play the Sunni-Shi'ite sectarian rivalry card and somehow keep the repercussions contained within the realm of orderliness or"manageable chaos" by means of their naval and other forces, they are every bit as dense now as they were when they went into Iraq in the first place, imagining that that strategy would succeed.

As the endgame arrives prompted by destructive US/British policies and strategies, Iraq will almost inevitably break apart along sectarian lines as its factions vie for ascendancy. That will oblige the surrounding states of Iran, Turkey and Syria to intervene to secure their respective, and conflicting, interests. Additionally, the Sunni Arab states will also intervene on behalf of their Sunni brethren in Iraq.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/IA03Ak03.html

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• Zur Zukunft des Irak, Auszüge der Asian Times, die inzwischen auch draufkommt - André, 02.01.2007, 18:50