Board-Ansicht
Mix-Ansicht- Grandeur (Grösse) schützt nicht vor Schrott-Prognosen! - Emerald, 05.01.2007, 11:05
- nicht mal EW - Prognosen sind immer richtig - BillyGoatGruff, 05.01.2007, 13:13
Grandeur (Grösse) schützt nicht vor Schrott-Prognosen!
-->You can believe the experts -- (courtesy Business Week)
Prediction:"It's very clear to us that oil prices have peaked for the cycle" Bill Miller of Legg Mason, Dec. 8, 2005.
The reality --Miller, the firm's leading investor, said oil prices would reach $40 to $55 a barrel during the year. Instead, they hit $78 in 2006.
Prediction:"We are on a tear to be the undisputed winner in China." eBay's CEO Meg Whitman, Feb. 10, 2005.
The reality: In December, 2006, eBay said it would close its operation in China and become instead the junior partner in a new Chinese e-commerce venture.
Prediction:"The national median home price will rise about 6.1% in 2006. Over a full year, it has never declined since good record-keeping began in 1968."
The Reality: Through October, the median price of residential properties was down 3.5% from a year earlier.
Prediction:"Earnings disappointments will likely cause a more significant correction in equities at some point in 2006 than we have experienced in some time." Robert Doll, chief investment office of Merrill Lynch Investment Managers.
The reality: Corporate earning reached their biggest share of gross domestic product since 1950, the market never corrected, and through Dec. 20, 2006, the S&P 500 stock index was up 14%.
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