The Peak Oil Crisis: A Message from Houston

verfasst von Sorrento, 27.10.2007, 20:04

-->Written by Tom Whipple Thursday, 25 October 2007


(erschienen bei Falls Church News Press, einer kleinen Lokalzeitung, die dank ihres Verbreitungsgebietes nahe Washington zu den Meistgelesensten der dort beschäftigten CIA-Agenten und -Pensionären gehören dürfte)


But the good times are clearly over.Peak production of conventional oil came 30 months ago and although new production projects will come on stream in the next few years, they will have a hard time balancing the depletion from existing fields which various speakers placed at 4-5 percent a year and probably increasing....


The most ominous development for countries such as the U.S., which must import most of its oil, is the emerging concept of “peak exports” which was discussed by several speakers. Peak exports simply means that oil-producing countries are using more and more oil at home - leaving less to sell abroad. Moreover, sentiment is starting to develop in many nations that they must save some oil for future generations, not just sell it to the foreign devils as quickly as possible.
...

The fall in the amount of oil available for purchase is likely to drop much more quickly than declines in production. When world oil exports fall, if they have not started doing so already, effects are likely to sharp and painful.

For me, the most interesting insight of the conference had nothing to do with oil production but rather was an insight I gained into the psyche of the American people. A keen observer of the American scene pointed out that most literate Americans are aware that we have some sort of energy problem. If for no other reason than unprecedented gasoline prices and the TV ads featuring yellow corn-fueled cars, most have at least an uneasy feeling that some sort of transformation is coming.

The problem is that most have no concept as to how soon the transformation will start and how much their lives are going to change...

it is that we don’t recognize that the transition will come soon and will inflict more economic pain and social dislocation on the American people than we have experienced since the Civil War or perhaps ever. Thus the message from Houston was “it will be soon and it will be bad, very bad,” much sooner and much worse than 99 percent of the American people realize.


<ul> ~ http://www.fcnp.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1984&Itemid=35</ul>

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gesamter Thread:

• Steep decline in oil production brings risk of war and unrest - Sorrento, 22.10.2007, 08:07
  • Re: Steep decline in oil production brings risk of war and unrest - Elmarion, 22.10.2007, 09:43
    • Ab einem bestimmten Preis werden Verbraucher"aussteigen" - FOX-NEWS, 22.10.2007, 10:15
      • Es ist egal, welche Nadel zuerst sticht! - Elmarion, 22.10.2007, 10:50
        • Dann wäre diese FIAT-getriebene Hasterradnummer endlich zuende! - FOX-NEWS, 22.10.2007, 11:44
          • Re: Dann wäre diese FIAT-getriebene Hasterradnummer endlich zuende! - Elmarion, 22.10.2007, 12:34
  • Schau Dir mal die Leute an, die hinter der"Energy Watch Group" stehen! - Yuro, 22.10.2007, 14:36
    • [x] done that - Sorrento, 22.10.2007, 14:40
      • [ ] Do it again! - Yuro, 22.10.2007, 15:27
        • wer definiert"drittklassig"? - Sorrento, 22.10.2007, 15:40
          • Re: wer definiert"drittklassig"? - Yuro, 22.10.2007, 16:12
            • Re: wer definiert"drittklassig"? - Aleph, 22.10.2007, 17:34
  • The Peak Oil Crisis: A Message from Houston - Sorrento, 27.10.2007, 20:04
    • Re: The Peak Oil Crisis: A Message from Houston=Panikmache!! - Josef, 27.10.2007, 20:54
      • Für eine reine"Panikmache" dauert mir der hohe Ã-lpreis schon zu lange an.;-( (o.Text) - sensortimecom, 27.10.2007, 21:09
        • Re: Aber eben noch nicht lange genug - Mephistopheles, 27.10.2007, 21:39
          • Re: Aber eben noch nicht lange genug - Vinosoph, 27.10.2007, 22:43
            • Re: Aber eben noch nicht lange genug - Mephistopheles, 27.10.2007, 22:53
              • Re: Aber eben noch nicht lange genug - Elmarion, 28.10.2007, 10:41
      • Ich finde auf der Seite nichts zu diesem Thema? - Sorrento, 28.10.2007, 11:09
        • @Sorrento: Gehe mal in Google und gib dort ein: - Josef, 28.10.2007, 11:39
          • Re: @Sorrento: Gehe mal in Google und gib dort ein: - Sorrento, 28.10.2007, 11:46
            • @Josef: Und, schon eine eigene Meinung gebildet? owT - Sorrento, 29.10.2007, 10:07
  • Bitte anschnallen:"IEA reviews reliance on USGS resource estimates" - Sorrento, 01.11.2007, 16:29
    • Peak Oil - klingonenjoerg, 02.11.2007, 05:18
      • Peak Oil, einige Betrachtungen vom Gipfel - Sorrento, 02.11.2007, 19:52