Re: 2 Artikel ex CB / noch einer: TO DA MOON

verfasst von PuppetMaster, 15.05.2001, 14:01

finde den"view" von don wolanchuck recht interessant. soweit ich das verfolge ist er mindestens ein spitzen-trader und seine bullishness hat sich bisher für ihn gelohnt:
 
 
in a stock house interview that is somewhere in storage incyberspace...im still looking......it was in 98....where i predicted a crash
of some sorts prior to the next 4 year cycle low.....the crash was in da secondary market...actually wasnt a crash...it was just a
hump in the long term up trend....inother words just like the dow in 87 just a hump in the overall uptrend....and like the 87 dow
hump the latest naz hump brought out the same doom and gloom scenarios...but this time from a new generation of professional
bears which was added to the allready large contingent of old line pro bears..some of the old generation did learn their lesson
from 87 and this new generation will go through the same cycle...its basicly the 30 to 35 yearold market observers who didnt
experience the 87 thing that are the most vocal in their bearish procrastinations...some like granville who missed the 73 74 bear
market decided in 82 that he wasnt about to get fooled again and of course the bull market made minsmeat of him....basicly the
problem with most analysts is that they dont have the tools except for some very short term stuff, that enables them to take a
bigger chunk out of the market...the clx analyis is the key to that kind of performance and of course the proper read of the long
term elliot count.....essentially its been my long held view that the market is controlled and manipulated to the point where
traders are allowed to be become winners for a buncha nickels and dimes for an extended period of time then when the big
upside kahuna arrives nothing seems to work anymore and more money is lost on the short side as the market it move up and
away.....if it were easy then every body would have been able to say"I was able to out perform the S and P by a 2 to 1 ratio over
a long period of time"...many have tried not many have succeeded....and of course there are always those analysts who will
always have a bearish bent....lets face it..most FA over the years has made it easy to be bearish....unfortunately most have a
misconseption about wat the market is all about....it.s a money making machine for the elite of this country and in that vain the
masses must be convinced that the market is not just a grown up game of trading baseball card but a serious business of buying
and selling companies, with earnings and all dat udder chit....and since this money machine is the primary reason for the
existance of this moneyed elite you can rest assured that it wont be allowed to fall apart.....that is why after the last huge runnup
it has taken 3 years of rotation to squeeze out the excesses....its been that way since the begining of the US markets...essentially its
a fear driven invorenment and most focus on the present for their worrisome attitudes about the markets....all failing to analyse
the market reactions to prior nasty reasons to be scared about the stock markets prospects....years ago there was plent to worry
about.....continental illinois, saving and loan collapse, farm depression, south american debt default....incredibly theres not much
of that crap to worry about now so the only thing left to worry about is the product of a supposed bubble mania...so you see
people will always find something to worry about....thats why in a horse race there is only one winner....the horse with a rider
who lets him have his head and doesnt worry about a thing.....why should he when there is an army of professional worriers doin
it behind him........cheers

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gesamter Thread:

• 2 Artikel ex CB - black elk, 15.05.2001, 13:53
  • Re: 2 Artikel ex CB / noch einer: TO DA MOON - PuppetMaster, 15.05.2001, 14:01
    • Wolanchuk ist ein Prolet - black elk, 15.05.2001, 15:31
      • Re: Wolanchuk ist ein Prolet - PuppetMaster, 15.05.2001, 15:39
      • Re: Wolanchuk ist ein Prolet/ davon gibts mehr - ManfredF, 15.05.2001, 15:39
        • Re: Wolanchuk ist ein Prolet/ davon gibts mehr - PuppetMaster, 15.05.2001, 15:41
  • TEST - McCay, 16.05.2001, 14:33