Re: Was die guru's / aden report

verfasst von JüKü, 23.11.2001, 19:36

>The Aden Forecast.
>ich bin nicht in der lagen den bericht hier einzustellen. Sorry.
>emerald.

Ich glaube, den hatten wir hier schon, aber hier ist er:

The now nine week rise in the stock market is underway and it's still
strong. But the weakness in the last few days is occurring while the market
is overbought short-term and Nasdaq is resisting at its 40-week moving
average, which means the rise may be near an end. The Dow Jones Industrials
and Nasdaq are strong above 9600 and 1810, respectively but the rise would
be over below those levels. Nasdaq has been the strongest index in this rise
so keep an eye on 1950 as it's still bearish below it, and the other indices
remain clearly bearish. They must rise further to confirm a new bull market
and like we've said, considering the uncertainty, we'd rather wait for a
confirmation before buying. The Dow Jones Utilities closed at another 1 ¾
year low today which is a bad sign for stocks and bonds.

Sparkles of better economic news is pushing bonds down. Bonds are volatile
at a major high area and signs are growing that the almost two year rise is
near an end. Bonds are now vulnerable to a further decline for the first
time in months as long as the 10 and 30 year yields stay above 4.65% and
5.30%, respectively. We now recommend watching the bond yields closely. If
the 10 and 30 year yields close and stay above 5.18% and 5.54%,
respectively, sell all your bonds and keep the proceeds in U.S. Dollar
T-Bills.

The U.S. Dollar remains strong and it could rise further short-term. The
Dollar index is strong above 116 and it could rise to 119 but it would
still be forming a major top. The Swiss Franc, Euro and British Pound are
under pressure. The Swiss Franc is the strongest. If it closes and stays
below.6000, it could decline to.5850 and still be in a new major uptrend.
Keep your positions. The Yen is weak below.8300. The Canadian Dollar is at
its record lows and very weak below.6300. The Australian Dollar's eight
week rise is petering out at its key.5250 level. Stay away.

Gold and gold shares are under pressure with the strong Dollar and the
intermediate decline we call D is still in process. Gold is weak short-term
below $278 and it's approaching its major support at $270. It's bullish
above $270 but if it declines to $265, it'll still be okay in the bottoming
process. The XAU index fell below 52 which means it could decline to the
46-48 level and also still be okay in the big picture. Silver has important
support at $4.00. Copper is holding at the recent highs and it's firm above
$.65. Platinum is looking firm above $440. Oil is very weak below $21.

The Global equities are moving with Wall Street. Australia's been the
strongest but the bear market still dominates. Stay away.

We will not have an update next week as we'll be speaking at the San
Francisco and New Orleans Conferences. We'll be back on schedule on
Wednesday, December 5th. We hope to see you at one of the conferences!
Wishing you a happy and relaxing Thanksgiving,
Pamela and Mary Anne Aden



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gesamter Thread:

• Was die"Gurus" so alles meinen... - littlesoros, 23.11.2001, 10:50
  • ... und noch einer: - littlesoros, 23.11.2001, 12:16
    • ... und nochmal einer: - littlesoros, 23.11.2001, 13:09
  • Re: Was die guru's (viele sind bei den brokern fest im solde) alles erzählen... - Emerald, 23.11.2001, 19:29
    • Re: Was die guru's / aden report - JüKü, 23.11.2001, 19:36