Strategist: Arab missile buildup is deterrent to Israeli first strike


SPECIAL TO WORLD TRIBUNE.COM
Thursday, February 7, 2002
ABU DHABI — The growing missile arsenals of Arab states and Iran can overcome Israel's nuclear capability, a report says.

The report, presented by a prominent Egyptian strategist, said Arab and Iranian missiles have reduced the likelihood that Israel will launch a nuclear first strike. The strategist termed Israel the sixth largest nuclear power in the world, with a plutonium arsenal far larger than that of India.

Zakaria Hussein, former director of Egypt's Higher Nasser Academy, presented the report during a two-day seminar on weapons of mass destruction. The seminar, which ended on Wednesday, was held at the Zayed Center for Coordination and Follow-Up in Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates.

"It is imperative for Arab states to have a deterrent power to face the existing gap in the military balance with Israel," the report said."Arab states possess a sufficient missile power, both conventional and unconventional, which constitute a confirmed deterrent that will force Israel not to carry out what it wants."

Hussein said Arab deterrence is based in its missile arsenals and large geographical area. He said Arab states have the potential to destroy Israel even after a nuclear strike by the Jewish state.

"The size of the Arab destructive power needed to deter Israel should be enough to cripple Israel's depth and inflict as much losses as possible," the report said."This does not need a nuclear capability but coordination among Arab nations and the joint will to use their available conventional and unconventional power."

The report said Israel possesses between 500 and 800 kilograms of plutonium. This figure, the report said, far exceeds India's plutonium stock, estimated at 150 kilograms.

"But it seems that Israel's nuclear policy has four proportions, the first of which is that it will use the atomic bomb as a deterrent weapon rather than a means to launch a first strike," the report said."Israel could use those weapons as a desperate retaliation at a later stage and will continue to work forcefully to prevent Arab states from acquiring nuclear bombs even if it has to launch an attack as it did in 1981, when it destroyed Iraq's nuclear reactor."

Israel has refused to confirm or deny a nuclear weapons capability. Israeli leaders have pledged not to be the first to use nuclear weapons in the Middle East.


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Ich glaube nach wie vor nicht, dass sich die USA Saddams entledigen wollen. Sie brauchen ihn immer noch als saekulaeren Puffer in Nah-Ost.

Vielleicht zieht er sich in einen seiner Palaeste zurueck, und laesst die Amis ein paar tausend Iraker todbomben. Aber er wird an der Macht bleiben.

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Aussagen deutscher Soldaten oder von deren Bekannten, die m. E. belegen, dass etwas im Bush ist:


erstens


zweitens



drittens




viertens


Wenn die Amis wirklich so bekloppt sein sollten, was ich nicht mehr ausschließe, den Irak anzugreifen, wird es kein Halten mehr beim Gold oder Goldminen geben. EW hin oder her.

Aber vielleicht sind es nur Ängste von Soldaten...

Wieder die Frage: Warum sind deutsche ABC-Spürpanzer gerade jetzt für einen Monat (Manöver...) in Kuwait???

Kalle



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hätte ein krieg gegen irak ein zurückgehen des goldpreises zur folge? und warum?
slg pat

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