-->Habe gerade gelesen, daß der Nikkei auf Neun-Monats-Hoch geschlossen hat.

Wenn Japan die Wende geschafft hat, dann wäre es eine absolut wahnsinnige Wiederholung der Geschichte, denn in den 20er-30er Jahren des 20. Jahrhundert war der japanische Zyklus auch um zehn Jahre gegen den europäisch-amerikanischen verschoben.

Der Zeitrahmen war damals etwa so (Die verbalen Beschreibungen sind aus dem Buch:"East Asia the modern Transformation von Fairbank, Reischauer, Craig, 1965" ):

* 1915-1920"Japanese economy grew by leaps and bounds"

* 1920"a spiralling inflation kept the war boom going for more than a year after the armistice, but prices collapsed in March 1920, and deflation set in."

* 1920-1932"The next twelve years were economically among the least impressive of Japan's modern history"

"During the 1920s a time of peace, of internationalism, and of democratic tendencies, military expenses were cut sharply..."

* 1932"Though the depression lasted for many years in the United States, Japan was already recovering by 1932, and in the next few years her economy forged ahead much faster than that of any other nation."

* 1936"As a result, by 1936 industry was more diversified, great technological advaces had occurred in the metallurgical, machine, and chemical industries, the volume of exports abroad and to the colonies had doubled in six years and the net national product had increased by half."