kingsolomon 26.11.2003, 17:45 |
Den COT geht langsam das Leihgold aus...![]() |
-->The problem for the gold shorts is that they have been playing a dangerous game for the last several expirys. They have been adding shorts prior to expiry and allowing the open interest to rise when it should be falling because they delta-hedged. On each individual expiry, the overhang of long interest near the current price was fairly high and they could shake it out due to the fact that the open interest rose significantly just prior to expiry. At this expiry, open interest hasn't risen much over levels of two or three weeks ago and the number of contracts with lot's of value in them is quite high due to the substantial runup in gold's price the last few weeks. The problem for the paper players is that this time the expiry created at least 25,000 contracts that are in the money by $50 or more and those won't be shaken out by a few dollar drop in price like the ones in the past. Moreover, the majority of the in the money options were for strikes below 370 so you really have to make gold tank in order to shake them out and that can't happen. |
kingsolomon 26.11.2003, 18:15 @ kingsolomon |
über $400 haben wir per FED-Sprachregelung 'unwillkommene Inflation' |
-->bin mal gespannt, was sich der alte Greenspan jetzt wieder einfallen |
Bob 26.11.2003, 18:20 @ kingsolomon |
Re: Jedenfalls sind Gold-Haussiers in diesen Tagen nicht die beste Gesellschaft |
-->wenn irgendwas passiert wird der Terminhandel sofort eingestellt und die Kontrakte werden zugunsten der Shorts für nichtig erklärt. |