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In einem Economist-Artikel von dieser Woche wird über den demographischen Einfluss auf die Haushalts-Defizite spekuliert. Daraus folgende Auszüge:
…But ageing populations could wreak havoc on these exalted ratings if governments do nothing. By the early 2040s, all of them could be relegated into the BBB league—a ranking now bestowed on countries like Mexico—or even lower….
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…The next stage in the exercise is to work out what happens if governments duck reform or fail to raise taxes….
…Runaway deficits will in turn cause a debt explosion. In 2000, only four out of the 25 countries—Japan, Italy, Belgium and Greece—had debt higher than 100% of GDP. By 2050, the ratio will exceed 100% in 17 countries, including America. In nine countries, the ratio will top 200%. Japan's will balloon to 718% (see chart)….
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