-->Heute werden die US-Netto-Kapitalzuflüsse veröffentlicht, es wird also wieder spannend beim Dollar.

Hier die aktuelle Dollareinschätzung von Morgan Stanley (15.11)

happy trading und gute Nacht wünscht

Per




LONG TERM:.... we have been working on the assumption that the decline to 1,1760 was wave A, the choppy rebound from there would be a wave B ahead of a final decline towards 1,15/1,12 in wave C. Then we were looking for a move to new highs. That could still be the case, but the market needs to turn in the next week or so and with the USD making new lows elsewhere it seems more likely that we are heading back to and through the 1,2925 highs. Targets above there lie at 1,32/1,35 and 1,40 respectively.

SHORT TERM - bullish - upside targets are still 1,3185/1,35/1,40 - Last week we suggested that a larger correction was possible after prices rejected the 1,30 psychlological resistance barrier. To a certain extent that correction phase has been developing and could develop further while under 1,3003. However, with the likes of AUD and CHF breaking to new highs the risk is that last weeks sideways action is all we are going to see at this stage. A decline through 1,2935 and then channel support at 1,2895 is needed to suggest a larger washout, otherwise look for new highs in the days ahead, with our next targets and real resistance area lying in the 1,3185 zone.