-->Ich liebe diesen Unfug.....



PROGNOSE/Ã-lpreisentwicklung für Brent und WTI 2006/07
Dow Jones Newswires führt einmal monatlich eine Umfrage zu den aktuellen
Ã-lpreisprognosen ausgewählter Banken und Institute durch. Nachfolgend erhalten
Sie eine Ãœbersicht der Ergebnisse.
===
MEDIAN
(in USD/Barrel)
BRENT (Vormonat) WTI (Vormonat)
Q3 2006 67,9 (65,0) 69,0 (67,2)
Q4 2006 65,8 (62,3) 67,0 (64,9)
Q1 2006 63,0 (62,5) 64,5 (65,0)
Q2 2007 60,0 (----) 62,0 (----)
2006 65,2 (65,0) 67,0 (66,4)
2007 58,0 (60,0) 60,6 (62,0)
Die Schätzwerte im Einzelnen:
BRENT (in USD/Barrel)
Institution 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q Jahresschnitt
2006 2006 2007 2007 2006 2007
ABN Amro ---- ---- ---- ---- 65,0 55,0
Banca Intesa 69,1 66,0 64,7 65,7 66,4 66,6
Barclays 65,5 69,6 ---- ---- 66,2 62,7
BayernLB 60,0 50,0 55,0 ---- 60,0 55,0
BGB 62,0 53,0 50,0 47,0 62,0 47,0
BNL ---- ---- ---- ---- 65,0 58,0
BNP Paribas 77,0 70,5 64,0 55,3 69,8 56,3
Calyon 71,0 67,5 ---- ---- 67,7 63,5
Cazenove ---- ---- ---- ---- 55,0 45,0
Citigroup ---- ---- ---- ---- 65,1 58,0
Credit Agricole 64,0 62,0 60,0 60,0 64,4 60,0
Credit Suisse 68,0 66,0 64,0 63,0 64,0 ----
Danske Bank 74,0 73,0 67,0 66,0 70,6 66,3
Deutsche Bank ---- ---- ---- ---- 57,9 48,0
Dresdner Bank 65,0 65,0 70,0 70,0 65,0 70,0
Goldman Sachs 67,8 68,5 ---- ---- 66,4 ----
Helaba Trust 60,0 57,0 54,0 52,0 62,0 52,0
HSH Nordbank 67,0 62,3 58,3 55,0 65,3 55,0
HWWA 64,0 61,0 60,0 60,0 64,0 60,0
IfW 70,0 70,0 70,0 70,0 68,0 70,0
ING 70,0 68,0 65,0 62,0 68,0 60,0
Invesco 70,0 75,0 75,0 80,0 70,0 75,0
IXIS CIB 72,8 76,5 80,3 76,3 70,3 80,4
J.P. Morgan ---- ---- ---- ---- 67,1 52,6
La Caixa 66,3 63,0 62,0 60,0 65,4 58,2
LBBW 67,0 66,0 65,0 63,0 67,0 63,0
M.M.Warburg 63,0 60,0 57,0 52,0 63,0 54,0
Merrill Lynch 64,0 64,4 ---- ---- 64,3 ----
Nordea 62,0 61,0 59,0 57,0 63,0 57,0
NordLB 68,0 60,0 58,0 55,0 65,0 55,0
Postbank 72,0 60,0 56,0 60,0 63,0 58,0
RZB 68,0 69,0 67,0 62,0 67,0 62,0
SocGen 75,0 65,5 61,0 59,5 68,8 57,0
UniCredit 73,0 75,0 72,0 71,0 70,0 69,0
WTI (in USD/Barrel)
Institution 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q Jahresschnitt
2006 2006 2007 2007 2006 2007
Banca Intesa 71,4 68,1 66,6 67,6 68,1 67,5
Barclays 67,3 72,2 ---- ---- 68,0 64,7
BayernLB 62,0 57,0 57,0 ---- 62,0 57,0
BGB 65,0 55,0 52,0 49,0 65,0 49,0
BNP Paribas 78,0 72,0 66,0 57,3 71,0 58,3
Calyon 72,0 69,0 ---- ---- 68,6 65,5
Citigroup ---- ---- ---- ---- 66,0 60,0
Credit Agricole 65,0 63,0 62,0 62,0 65,3 62,0
Credit Suisse 68,0 67,0 65,0 64,0 64,0 ----
Deutsche Bank ---- ---- ---- ---- 59,6 50,0
Dresdner Bank 67,0 67,0 72,0 72,0 67,0 72,0
Goldman Sachs 69,5 70,2 ---- ---- 67,9 ----
HSH Nordbank 69,0 64,0 60,0 57,0 67,0 57,0
HWWA 65,0 62,0 61,0 61,0 65,0 61,0
ING 72,0 70,0 67,0 64,0 69,8 62,0
Invesco 70,0 75,0 75,0 80,0 70,0 75,0
IXIS CIB 73,4 77,0 80,9 76,9 70,0 81,8
J.P. Morgan ---- ---- ---- ---- 67,3 54,1
La Caixa 67,8 64,5 64,0 62,0 67,0 60,2
LBBW 68,0 67,0 67,0 65,0 68,0 65,0
M.M.Warburg 65,0 62,0 59,0 55,0 65,0 56,0
Merrill Lynch 65,3 65,5 ---- ---- 65,5 ----
NordLB 70,0 61,0 60,0 56,0 66,0 57,0
Postbank 74,0 62,0 58,0 62,0 65,0 60,0
RZB 69,0 70,0 68,0 63,0 68,0 63,0
SocGen 76,5 67,5 62,0 60,0 69,9 58,0
UniCredit 73,0 76,0 73,0 72,0 73,0 72,0
Legende
Barclays - Barclays Capital
BayernLB - Bayerische Landesbank
BGB - Bankgesellschaft Berlin
Calyon - Calyon Corporate and Investment Bank
HWWA - Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv
IfW - Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel
IXIS CIB - IXIS Corporate & Investment Bank
LBBW - Landesbank Baden-Württemberg
NordLB - Norddeutsche Landesbank
Natexis - Natexis Banques Populaires
Postbank - Deutsche Postbank
RZB - Raiffeisen Zentralbank
SocGen - Societe Generale
Umfragezeitraum: 14. bis 15. Juni 2006