Hallo!

Zur Veröffentlichung kamen heute:

~ zuerst die Initial Jobless Claims - Erstanträge auf Arbeitslosenunterstützung für die Woche, die am 9.6.2001 endete, diese lagen bei 428.000. Der ohnehin schon sehr hohe Wert der letzten Woche wurde von 432.000 auf nunmehr 440.000 berichtigt. Unglaublich. Damit hat der 4-Wochendurchschnitt ein neues Hoch von 424.000 erreicht. Die Anzahl der Menschen, die dauerhaft arbeitlos gemeldet sind, liegt etwas unterhalb der zuletzt gemeldeten Zahl, nun bei 2.988.000.

Link zu Erstnaträgen auf Arbeitslosenunterstützung</ul>


~ gefolgt von den Erzeugerpreisen - Producer Price Index für den Mai, mit einem leichten Anstieg von +0,1% im Vergleich zum April, erwartet wurden +0,3%. Werden Energie und Nahrungsmittel herausgenommen, ergibt sich ein Wert von +0,2%. Im Jahresvergleich betragen die Erzeugerpreise +3,7% und in der Kernrate +1,6%.

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<ul> ~ die Zahlen:
~ The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased by 0.1% in May compared to April. The core index excluding the more volatile items food and energy increased by 0.2% in May compared to April.
~ The intermediate goods index rose 0.1% while prices for crude goods decreased by 2.3% in May compared to April.
~ The year-over-year increase in producer prices for finished goods compared to May 2000 stands at 3.8%. Excluding the more volatile items energy and food wholesale prices increased by 1.6%. The higher increase in the broader index compared to the core index can be attributed to higher energy prices. Finished energy goods increased by 14.5% year-over-year.
~ Year-over-year wholesale prices for intermediate goods increased by 2.3%, whereas crude goods increased by 12.9%.
~ The May increase in the finished good index is driven by a 5.6% increase in cigarette prices. Without this sharp increase wholesale prices would have declined by 0.1% in May. The core index would also have declined by 0.1%.
~ Small increases in finished energy goods of 0.2% also contributed to the rise in wholesale prices whereas prices for consumer foods and capital equipment declined by 0.4% and 0.1%, respectively.
~ Link zu den Erzeugerpreisen</ul>

Langzeitchart:


<ul> ~ die Zahlen:
~ Total business inventories posted no change in April from the previous month. Consensus expectations were for a 0.1% increase.
~ Manufacturing and trade sales declined 0.5%.
~ Even though inventory accumulation was weaker than expected, the coinciding drop in sales has pushed the inventory-to-sales ratio upward to 1.44.
~ Link zu den Business Inventories</ul>


~ noch ein Nachtrag zum gestern publizierten Beige Book, das die allgemeine Schwäche der amerikanischen Wirtschaft herausstellte. So lässt sich eine reduzierte Aktivität im herstellenden Gewerbe, ein geschwächter Stellenmarkt mit einem Nettoverlust an Arbeitsplätzen, reduzierte Kapitalinvestitionen und desweiteren ein vermindertes Verbraucher- und Geschäftssentiment sehen.

<ul> ~ die Einzelheiten:
~ Consumer spending is lackluster nearly everywhere. Only the Cleveland and Atlanta Districts reported any growth at all. This is consistent with today’s weak retail sales report for May (Beige Book comments were based on information gathered before June 4) and also with last week’s weak chain store sales report. Auto sales and tourism spending were highlighted as particularly weak.
~ Manufacturing activity in all regions is reported to be decelerating or declining. A glimmer of hope, however, was mentioned by the Chicago and St. Louis Districts regarding the Midwest.The Chicago District says their contacts report that the worst of high inventory levels is over. St. Louis reports there are some planned expansions in output for high-tech, tobacco and chemical industries.
~ Nearly all Fed Districts report deterioration in commercial real estate markets. One interesting exception is the San Francisco District, which reports that markets are sound, but with signs of weakening. Within the West, however, the San Francisco Bay Area and Seattle are highlighted as the weakest regional markets with a substantial amount of sublease space on the market due to downsized dot coms and other high-tech software and hardware makers.
~ Oil and natural gas drilling supports areas dependent upon such natural resource production. Specifically, the Kansas City District reports an eleven-year high for the number of active drill rigs.
~ Labor markets are easing, although some shortages in specific industries such as nursing and construction workers persists.
~ Wage pressure is easing. Particular note is made of dramatic softening of demand for tech workers in Boston, and wage pressure is much reduced in San Francisco.
~ Non-energy price increases are subdued nationwide. Of note, however, is that all Fed Districts, not just in the West, report higher energy prices.
~ der Link zum Kurzbericht</ul>

Fazit:Alles beim Alten, die dunklen Wolken bleiben bzw. werden immer dunkler vor allem über dem Arbeitsmarkt.

schöne Grüsse
Cosa

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