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>aus dem AVID Chat, gepostet von excalibur.

Hier eine kurze EWAII Analyse der aktuellen Situation:
Commentary for Tokio Nikkei 225 (Daily) on 25-Jul-2001 with three incomplete patterns:

Wave 5 of the Primary degree inverted Impulse with an exceptional rating of 273,3 is expected to complete at a price no higher than 10231.65, but more probably between 8109.9 and 8734. This wave could complete anytime between now and 12-Jan-2007, but is most likely to complete sometime between 15-Apr-2003 and 12-Jan-2004.

This wave 5 will complete the Impulse pattern.

This is the final wave in the pattern. When complete it will also complete wave III of the Cycle degree inverted Impulse with a high rating of 181,6. These two waves have the same target ranges.

Once this wave III is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave IV, which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave IV should not retrace back into the price range of wave II, and will often have a similar price range to wave II. Expect wave IV to retrace wave III by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave IV will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave IV of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave IV to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave II. After wave IV, expect wave V to move beyond the end of wave III to complete this Impulse.

Wave (III) of the Supercycle degree inverted Impulse with a good rating of 123,7 is expected to complete at a price no higher than 11525.79, but more probably no higher than 5977.6. This wave could complete anytime between now and 17-Jul-2069, but is most likely to complete sometime between 12-Jan-2004 and 01-Jun-2012.

Once this wave (III) is complete, expect the market to pull back into wave (IV), which is corrective in nature and is generally a sideways movement. Wave (IV) should not retrace back into the price range of wave (II), and will often have a similar price range to wave (II). Expect wave (IV) to retrace wave (III) by 20% to 50%, with the most likely target of about 38.2%. Wave (IV) will often retrace into the price territory of the previous wave (IV) of one lesser degree. Expect the time taken by wave (IV) to be anything from 100% to 270% of the time taken for wave (II). After wave (IV), expect wave (V) to move beyond the end of wave (III) to complete this Impulse.

Gruß Gerhard

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